← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Scary Askari
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Scary Askari (SR:83, 9/2) holds the best combination of rating and market positioning in a weak field. At SR:83 he sits joint-top with Maxicourt (SR:84) but carries 11-5 versus Maxicourt's 11-4 — a negligible weight difference — while Maxicourt shows DistFit:- and GoingFit:- on today's good ground, undermining that marginal SR edge. Scary Askari's DistFit:? and GoingFit:? mean no proven negatives at 2m3f on good, whereas Maxicourt has demonstrated he doesn't handle today's conditions. The three-star AI probability rating is the highest in the field, and at 9/2 the market has him second-shortest, reflecting connections' confidence from a trainer striking at 9% from 548 runners with a competent amateur booking (Mr D McGill 10% from 156). Form of 0860-3 shows a recent third on return from a break, suggesting he is freshening into form after 120 days off. Each-way alternative: Pure Logic. Main danger: Pure Logic — Pure Logic (SR:82, 7/1) carries top-weight 11-12 but has GoingFit:+ on today's good ground and recent form of 536P31 showing a last-time-out win, and while drifting 11% in the market, the good-ground confirmation and proven fitness cycle make him the most credible threat.
Full result
Winner: At The Wings (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
At The Wings 12/1
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2
Pure Logic Fox #2 15/2
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3
Tuckmill 33/1
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4
Leo Messy 7/1
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5
Demanding Gerry 10/1
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6
Hatfield Hammer 11/1
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7
Sekakarma Fox #3 15/2
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8
Maxicourt Fox #4 11/2
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8
Noble Rocco 8/1
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10
Cinnabar Moth 16/1
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11
Tomas O Maille 16/1
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12
Champagne Diamond 22/1
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13
Subset 80/1
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14
Scary Askari Fox #1 5/1
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—
Classy Cc 16/1
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Monty's Way 22/1
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Annie Button 8/1
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Glendaars Secret 10/1
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Mr Erwitt 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Scary Askari 9/2 14TH
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2
Pure Logic 7/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Sekakarma 15/2 7TH
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4
Maxicourt 5/1 8TH