Millbrook Food Group 100 Years Celebration Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

15:26 Navan Sat 19 Sep 2026 2m3f Good 19 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Goin'

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Goin' (SR:84, 10/3) is the clear SR leader in a modest field where the next-best cluster sits at SR 79-80, and crucially is the only runner showing a GoingFit:~ rather than GoingFit:-, meaning the Good ground is at least tolerable rather than actively working against him. Carrying 11-10 he is not burdened relative to rivals and the hat headgear suggests connections are targeting a specific effort. The 10/3 market price — making him a clear favourite — reflects the form edge his SR represents, and A.J. Martin's yard at 7% strike rate over 572 runners is a competent handler. Form 00-553 is unspectacular but the most recent run (3rd) shows upward momentum, and a field of 19 with several moderate horses carrying poor going and distance flags reduces the quality of the opposition meaningfully. Each-way alternative: Clanokre Lass. Main danger: Backinabit — Backinabit (SR:77, 15/2) is shortening in the market (Mkt:in5%), carries a light 10-5, shows GoingFit:~ suggesting the ground suits, and the cheekpieces (HG:p) combined with market support from Denis Hogan's yard suggests a targeted stable run — a MarkMv:+5 is manageable and the weight advantage over Goin' is substantial.

Verify· #18644

Full result

Winner: Mother Ship (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.