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16:35 Navan Sat 19 Sep 2026 2m5f Good 19 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Can Happen silks

Can Happen

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 SP 5/1J Est. 22%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Can Happen (SR:105, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by SR and carries 12-1 as top-weight — a significant burden, but the SR edge over the next-best (Knocknagoran Lady at SR:104, Pourquoi Poi at SR:97) is meaningful at this modest prize level. The GoingFit:~ suggests workable ground conditions, and the 3★ AI rating plus a market that has not drifted (unlike the majority of rivals who show Mkt:out signals) is a relative positive in a field where the market has actively opposed 14 of 19 runners. Miss Georgie Benson's 9% strike rate on 78 rides is respectable for a conditional in this sphere. The MarkMv:+6 is a mild concern, but with the SR ceiling in this field sitting at just 105, Can Happen has the class to absorb that penalty. Each-way alternative: Pourquoi Poi. Main danger: Pourquoi Poi — Pourquoi Poi (SR:97, 4/1) is the market's idea of favourite, carries a light 11-1, is the youngest and potentially most progressive runner, and Paul W Flynn's yard runs at 9% — the main concern is GoingFit:- and MarkMv:+10, but the betting market clearly disagrees and at 4/1 in a 19-runner field that implied market confidence cannot be ignored.

Verify· #18696

Full result

Winner: Can Happen (IRE) at SP 5/1J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Can Happen silks Can Happen Fox #1 Peter John Flood · Miss Georgie Benson(4) 9/2
  2. 2 Sallap silks Sallap S Curling · Miss N Lockhead Anderson(7) 12/1
  3. 3 Magic Day silks Magic Day Ian Patrick Donoghue · Caragh Monaghan(4) 14/1
  4. 4 Latopix silks Latopix Henry de Bromhead · Ms Pandora Briselden(7) 11/1
  5. 5 The Monkey Pole silks The Monkey Pole N Dooly · Miss Ella Herbison 20/1
  6. 6 Diamond Tipp silks Diamond Tipp Martin Hassett · Ms E C Costello(4) 25/1
  7. 7 Costanuci silks Costanuci John Queally · Miss O M Queally(7) 8/1
  8. 8 Moonlight Paradise silks Moonlight Paradise Fox #3 Paul Nolan · Miss J Townend 13/2
  9. 9 Sammy Smart silks Sammy Smart Thomas Gibney · Miss P Elvin(4) 25/1
  10. 10 Midleton Rare silks Midleton Rare Noel C. Kelly · Ms E Dunseath(7) 11/1
  11. 11 Tippinaway silks Tippinaway Eric Larkin · Sarah Kavanagh(4) 14/1
  12. 12 Seeitoldya silks Seeitoldya John Joseph Hanlon · Miss S A Carter(7) 50/1
  13. 13 Lucy Wang silks Lucy Wang Emmet Mullins · Miss Charlotte Butler(4) 10/1
  14. 14 Ottoman Style silks Ottoman Style Dermot A McLoughlin · Ms L A Byrne(7) 50/1
  15. — Toor Khov silks Toor Khov Ms M Flynn · Elizabeth Gale(2) 8/1
  16. — Knocknagoran Lady silks Knocknagoran Lady Fox #4 Cian Hughes · Anna McGuinness(4) 9/2
  17. — Pourquoi Poi silks Pourquoi Poi Fox #2 Paul W Flynn · Ms A M Connolly(7) 4/1
  18. — Coolboy Christy silks Coolboy Christy P J Rothwell 14/1
  19. — Kazbek silks Kazbek Peter Fahey SP

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Can Happen silks Can Happen 9/2 SP 5/1J 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Pourquoi Poi silks Pourquoi Poi 4/1
  3. 3 Moonlight Paradise silks Moonlight Paradise 6/1 8TH
  4. 4 Knocknagoran Lady silks Knocknagoran Lady 9/2