← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dominic Hill Accountants & Thorne Civil Engineers Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Siorai
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/6 Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Siorai (SR 101, 5/6) is the class leader in this three-runner field and carries the most compelling combination of signals. Harry Derham's yard operates at a strong 22% strike rate from 211 runners — comfortably the best trainer in this field — and the market has steamed in 20% since opening, suggesting meaningful confidence from connections. At 11-10 it sits 8lb lighter than Galeforcechopper (12-0) and 16lb lighter than top-weight, which matters on good ground over this trip. The 109-day absence is the one credible flag, but the market move suggests the yard is happy with its prep. Each-way alternative: Galeforcechopper. Main danger: Galeforcechopper — Galeforcechopper posted a win last time out (form ending in 1), drops a class, and despite the brutal 43% drift may simply be the better horse on the day if the market is reacting to the weight (12-0) rather than ability.
Full result
Winner: Getarose (IRE) at SP 11/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Getarose Fox #3 2/1
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2
Siorai Fox #1 10/11
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3
Galeforcechopper Fox #2 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3