← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Connie's Rose
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Connie's Rose (SR:63, 4/1) is the strongest combination of signals in this Class 6 6f heavy-ground sprint. GoingFit:+ confirms she handles the conditions that will test every rival, while DistFit:~ shows a workable record at the trip. Crucially she drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) and runs off a mark 5lb lower than her last win (MarkMv:-5), meaning the handicapper has handed her a genuine opportunity. Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate, 2701 career rides) is a significant jockey booking for this level and signals stable intent; contrast that with the market favourite Happier who has drifted 15% since opening and carries DistFit:- on heavy ground that she has no proven record on. Each-way alternative: Call Time. Main danger: Call Time — Call Time (SR:56, 9/2) carries a featherweight 8-13, has GoingFit:+ confirming she handles heavy, a MarkMv:-5 drop in her favour, and Course:W0P5 shows she consistently runs into a place at Ffos Las — if the pace collapses on heavy ground she could pinch it late.
Full result
Winner: Call Time (IRE) at SP 2/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Call Time Fox #3 4/1
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2
Son of Astar Fox #4 13/2
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3
Happier Fox #2 7/4
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4
Connie's Rose Fox #1 7/2
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5
Manhattan Mirage 14/1
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6
Bama Lama 25/1
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7
Counting Cards 20/1
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Up The Anti 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4