← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Rhn Travel Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Scarfo
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Scarfo (SR:59, 5/2) leads the field on Saturday Rating and has steamed in 25% since opening, which in a Class 6 heavy-ground mile at Ffos Las carries real weight. The drop of four class tiers is significant — this horse is clearly well above the average ability level here and the yard's deliberate targeting is underlined by booking Charlie Tucker (7lb claimer reduces the effective weight burden on 9-9). Course form of W0P4 at Ffos Las confirms the horse handles this track; the GoingFit is unknown rather than negative, which at a 59 SR in this company is not a disqualifier. The MarkMv:+10 is a concern on paper, but the class drop is so steep that the mark is still workable, and the market has clearly decided the combination is live. Each-way alternative: Beaming Light. Main danger: Equion — Equion (SR:58, 3/1) carries a proven GoingFit:+ on heavy ground — the only runner in the field with confirmed ability in these conditions — has steamed 32% with Tom Marquand booked, and a MarkMv:-15 means it is running off a mark well below its last winning mark, giving the handicapper's stamp of approval.
Full result
Winner: Equion (GB) at SP 5/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Equion Fox #3 11/4
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2
Arvana Belle 5/1
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3
Pebble Dash 28/1
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4
Scarfo Fox #1 11/4
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5
Who Is Alice Fox #4 11/1
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6
Grimese's Special 14/1
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7
Leia Antilles 14/1
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8
Private Officer 15/2
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9
Belltony 11/1
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—
Beaming Light Fox #2 9/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Scarfo 5/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Beaming Light 9/4
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3
Equion 3/1 SP 5/2F 🏆 WON
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4
Who Is Alice 7/1 5TH