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Hsbc Uk Agriculture Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Agitator
SPECULATIVE Advised 17/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Agitator (SR:75, 17/2) has steamered 43% in the market — the sharpest move in the field by a wide margin — suggesting informed money is backing this horse heavily despite its moderate recent form (0100). The drop of three class tiers makes this a significantly easier assignment, and a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm surface is a meaningful edge when several rivals show GoingFit:?. At 17/2 with that volume of market support, the price is generous relative to the implied confidence of connections. Neil Callan is a capable operator and the tongue-tie removal/application (HG:p) could explain the trainer targeting this specific race with confidence. Each-way alternative: Pequenita. Main danger: Pequenita — Pequenita (SR:85, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, carries only 9-7, is trained by a yard with an 18% strike rate, has consistent form (4322) showing she hits the frame regularly, and a 5% market move in suggests steady professional support — the SR advantage alone makes her the most likely winner on ability.
Full result
Winner: Another Encore (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Another Encore Fox #3 5/2
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2
Pequenita Fox #2 9/4
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3
Agitator Fox #1 17/2
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4
Golden Caturra 7/1
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5
Parading 10/1
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6
Q T Boy 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3