← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing Bet-Builder At Spreadex Sports Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Rocsane
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Rocsane (SR:79, 13/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and the standout from the Margarson yard — she gets the nod over stablemate Troublesome Guest by virtue of superior SR, proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1), and a massive 42% market move inward, which is the strongest money signal across all 16 runners. Her form of 53223 shows consistency and she carries only 9-3, giving her a weight advantage over top-weights. Silvestre De Sousa is a clear upgrade booking on this yard's second string, reinforcing that connections view her as the stable's prime vehicle here. Lovely Dark Angel (SR:77) at 13/8 is the main threat but has only two runs to her name (Form:42) and unproven trip/going credentials — Rocsane's experience edge and the steamer money tip the scales. Each-way alternative: Seed Ya Later. Main danger: Lovely Dark Angel — Lovely Dark Angel (SR:77, 13/8) is the market favourite, has a small but consistent market inward move of 7%, is trained by the in-form Boughey/Loughnane combination (both 18% strike rates), and her two-run form of 42 suggests significant unexposed upside that could dwarf Rocsane's more exposed profile.
Full result
Winner: Arabica Queen (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Arabica Queen 22/1
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2
Soeur de Flash 7/1
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3
Babzini 11/1
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4
Tallahassee Lassie 16/1
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5
Sioux Moon 9/1
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6
Lovely Dark Angel Fox #2 15/8
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7
Rocsane Fox #1 13/2
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8
Bladey Lady Fox #4 7/1
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9
Seed Ya Later Fox #3 15/2
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10
Enamored 20/1
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11
Star Bayside Boy 18/1
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12
Penny Arcade 80/1
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13
Sheer Beauty 33/1
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14
Crystal Kraken 33/1
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—
Troublesome Guest 14/1
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—
Bearly Blue 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rocsane 13/2 7TH
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2
Lovely Dark Angel 13/8 6TH
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3
Seed Ya Later 9/1 9TH
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4
Bladey Lady 15/2 8TH