Fango Handicap Stakes (Div II)

17:00 Beverley Tue 22 Sep 2026 7f75y Class 4 Good 9 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Glenfinnan

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 35%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Glenfinnan (SR:91, 5/2) is the class standout in this field, carrying 10-2 despite a MarkMv:+4 but dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), which is a significant competitive advantage. The horse has strong course form (W2P3 at Beverley), a DistFit:~ at this trip, and GoingFit:~ on today's good ground — all acceptable. The standout signal here is the market: a 43% Mkt:in move from the opening price is substantial and indicates informed money is behind this runner for a reason. At 5/2, Glenfinnan's implied market probability (~29%) slightly undervalues what the SR gap and class drop suggest, making this a genuine play. Each-way alternative: Tattie Bogle. Main danger: Tattie Bogle — Tattie Bogle (SR:82, 9/2) has the strongest distance and going credentials in the field (DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+), recent winning form (rightmost figure '1'), proven course form (W1P2 at Beverley), and Callum Shepherd's 15% strike rate — the drift of 38% is puzzling but the class rise (↑1) is the most plausible explanation, and if the step up in class is within range, this horse has the right profile to chase Glenfinnan home or go past it.

Verify· #19207

Full result

Winner: Mudamer (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Mudamer Geoffrey Harker · David Nolan 8/1
2 Nursia Kevin Ryan · Kevin Stott 11/1
3 Obelix Fox #3 Julie Camacho · Jason Hart 7/2
4 Tattie Bogle Fox #2 Charlie Johnston · Callum Shepherd 6/1
5 Glenfinnan Fox #1 Michael Dods · Connor Beasley 11/4
6 Light Speed Ruth Carr · James Sullivan 22/1
7 Star Material Adrian Keatley · Barry McHugh 22/1
8 Folkene Roger Fell · Joanna Mason 7/1
9 Style of Life Harriet Bethell · Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) 7/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Glenfinnan 5/2 5TH
2 Tattie Bogle 9/2 🏁 4TH
3 Obelix 4/1 🥉 3RD