← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Fever Dream
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 SP 9/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Fever Dream (SR:123, 11/4) carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-7, giving it a 1st-7lb advantage over Ki Woo and meaningful edges over both Dunkerque (11-13) and Snipe (11-7). The 29% market support into 11/4 is a significant steaming signal in a four-runner field and is the strongest directional move in the race. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good-to-firm conditions — the only runner with that confirmation — and Course:W1P1 at Warwick is a genuine positive on what can be a specialist track. The 151-day absence is a concern, but the market is backing it confidently despite that layoff, suggesting connections are happy with its prep. Each-way alternative: Snipe. Main danger: Snipe — Snipe (SR:126, 7/2) is the only other runner with market confidence — shortening 14% — benefits from the powerful Skelton yard (trainer 22%, jockey 27% strike rates), has course form at Warwick (W0P1), moderate distance fit (DistFit:~), and drops a class with only a 1lb rise in mark, making it a genuine threat to Fever Dream.
Full result
Winner: Fever Dream (IRE) at SP 9/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fever Dream Fox #1 11/4
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2
Snipe Fox #2 4/1
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3
Dunkerque 3/1
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Ki Woo Fox #3 15/8
Top 4 — how each finished
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3