← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Prince de Juilley
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Prince de Juilley (SR 105, 9/2) is the most compelling selection when multiple signals are stacked together. His Course:W1P3 record at Warwick is the standout qualifier in this field — course specialists at tracks like Warwick over extreme trips carry a meaningful edge, and no other runner can claim that familiarity. His DistFit:+ confirms he stays 3m2f reliably, which matters enormously at this distance where stamina doubts can be race-ending. The market has steamed 13% (Mkt:in13%), indicating informed confidence, and his weight of 11-10 is competitive — only 2lb above the lowest meaningful runner. His recent form 22-465 shows consistent involvement at a similar class level, and the blinkers (b) suggest connections are working to sharpen him for a big effort. Lacrima (SR 108, 15/8) is the SR leader but steps up in class (ClassMv:↑1), carries top-weight at 11-12, and has a DistFit:? and GoingFit:? — too many unknowns at a price that offers poor value. Each-way alternative: Belles Benefit. Main danger: Lacrima — Lacrima holds the field's highest SR at 108 and is trained by a handler with a 15% strike rate — if the class rise and trip uncertainty prove unfounded, that raw ability advantage could prove decisive at a short price.
Full result
Winner: Belles Benefit (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Belles Benefit Fox #3 7/2
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2
Pipers Cross 6/1
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3
Prince de Juilley Fox #1 4/1
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4
Back In The Bay 11/4
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5
Lacrima Fox #2 3/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3