← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Listowel Arms Hotel Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Eddie G
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Eddie G (SR 86, 15/2) is the standout market mover in this field — a 29% inward shift from opening price is the strongest steaming signal in the race and demands respect. At 9-6 he carries a workable weight, and his GoingFit:+ confirms he handles good ground, unlike stablemate Goal Exceeded (GoingFit:~) and Highbury See See (GoingFit:-). His form-string 391185 shows a recent '5' and '8' before a sharp rebound to '1', suggesting a horse back in form and freshened by a 14-day turnaround. Within the McGuinness yard, Eddie G is flagged as the market's preferred runner over Goal Exceeded despite the latter's stronger recent form (031441), because Goal Exceeded carries a DistFit:- at this mile trip — a meaningful structural concern — and has only drifted 10% in comparison. The trainer's yard record of 9% is modest but the money here is talking loudly enough to override that caution. Each-way alternative: Morehampton. Main danger: Goal Exceeded — Goal Exceeded's form-string 031441 is the most consistent recent sequence in the field — four finishes of 4th or better in the last five — and his 10% market inward move suggests connections believe he's live despite the DistFit:- concern at the mile trip.
Full result
Winner: Morehampton (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Morehampton Fox #3 4/1
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2
Highbury See See Fox #4 7/2
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3
Eddie G Fox #1 15/2
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4
Exquisite Acclaim 9/1
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5
Galileo Noir 13/2
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6
Goal Exceeded Fox #2 7/2
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7
Glyndwr 6/1
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—
Victory Tip 11/2
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—
Son Of Beauty 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Eddie G 15/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Goal Exceeded 7/2 6TH
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3
Morehampton 5/1 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
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4
Highbury See See 9/2 🥈 2ND