Heineken Handicap Stakes

14:40 Goodwood Wed 23 Sep 2026 1m0f0y Class 2 Good 8 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Storm Star

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Storm Star (SR:98, 5/2) holds the strongest Saturday Rating in the field and is running off a mark 4lb below his last win — a meaningful edge in a Class 2 handicap. The 19% market shortening is the standout move in this field and represents informed money rather than public drift. Trainer Andrew Balding (18% strike rate, 2,992 runners — a yard of serious scale) pairs with Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate) giving the horse elite connections. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and at 5/2 there is still genuine value relative to the 32% win probability I assign. Each-way alternative: Jimmy Speaking. Main danger: Jimmy Speaking — Jimmy Speaking (SR:96, 7/2) has steamed in 49% since opening — the most dramatic move in the field — carries only 8-9 (a 6lb weight advantage over Storm Star) and steps up a class with strong market confidence behind it, suggesting connections believe the form figure improvement is real and imminent.

Verify· #19308

Full result

Winner: Tribal Chief (FR) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Tribal Chief Fox #2 David Menuisier · William Buick 10/3
2 Storm Star Fox #1 Andrew Balding · Oisin Murphy 2/1
3 Gun Carriage Dylan Cunha · Rossa Ryan 50/1
4 Darkness David O'Meara · Saffie Osborne 13/2
5 Two Tempting Jonathan Portman · Rob Hornby 12/1
6 Oliver Show George Boughey · Jack Callan 9/1
7 Jimmy Speaking Fox #3 Chris Dwyer · Silvestre De Sousa 7/2
— Racingbreaks Ryder Charles Hills · Tom Marquand 18/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Storm Star 5/2 🥈 2ND
2 Tribal Chief 7/2 SP 11/4 🏆 WON
3 Jimmy Speaking 7/2 7TH