← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Virgin Bet Foundation Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Respond
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 SP 6/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Respond (SR:116, 11/4, Wgt:9-4) shares the top SR in the field but carries 3lb less than Boiling Point, giving it a meaningful weight advantage at equal ability. The 17% market shortening is the most decisive signal in a small five-runner field — money has moved decisively in its favour at a Listed level where connections and market intelligence align. Andrew Balding (18% strike rate, 2,992 runners) booking Oisin Murphy (22%, 2,711 runners) is the strongest jockey-trainer combination on the card, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm the horse is suited by today's conditions. The MarkMv:+9 is a concern — running off a mark 9lb higher than at last win — but at Listed level the mark context matters less than raw ability and connections confidence, and the market has already absorbed that information and kept shortening. Each-way alternative: Boiling Point. Main danger: Boiling Point — Boiling Point (SR:116, 3/1) matches Respond on SR, has a strong course record (W1P2 at Goodwood), proven GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+, and a MarkMv:-2 meaning it runs off a mark slightly below its last win — the drift of 12% is the main concern, but K.R. Burke's 20% yard strike rate and the course familiarity make it the most credible threat.
Full result
Winner: Respond (IRE) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Respond Fox #1 7/4
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2
Boiling Point Fox #2 10/3
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3
Naqeeb 4/1
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4
Lion's Pride Fox #3 4/1
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5
Treble Tee 9/1
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Quisana -
Top 4 — how each finished
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3