← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Mister Bluebird
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Mister Bluebird (SR:80, 10/1) has steamed 30% in the market — the most significant move in the field — and backs it up with outstanding course form of W2P5 at Goodwood, meaning connections clearly target this track. At 10-2 he carries top-weight but his SR of 80 is competitive at this Class 4 level and the weight is manageable at 6f on good ground. The MarkMv:+2 is a mild concern but the market confidence overrides it: someone with course knowledge is backing this horse hard. Form of 022073 reads inconsistently but the two most recent figures (7→3→2→0→2) include a recent placed effort and the 30% market move since opening tells a clear story. Each-way alternative: Underwriter. Main danger: Underwriter — Underwriter (SR:81, 6/1) has steamed 33% in the market — the second biggest move in the field — carries a light 9-10, has a mark 9lb below his last win (MarkMv:-9), and Hector Crouch's 18% career strike rate is the best jockey stat on the card, making him a genuine threat despite moderate recent form figures.
Full result
Winner: Percy's Star (GB) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Percy's Star 17/2
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2
Brosay 4/1
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3
Serenity Dream Fox #3 17/2
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4
Rage of Thunder 12/1
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5
Arry Up 16/1
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6
Tenbob Tommy 12/1
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7
Kennington 33/1
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8
Sound And Vision Fox #4 6/1
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9
Underwriter Fox #2 15/2
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10
Kesta 25/1
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11
Mister Bluebird Fox #1 9/1
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12
Star Chorus 28/1
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13
Robert Anstruther 15/2
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14
Em Four 16/1
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15
On Edge 18/1
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—
George Wickham 12/1
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First Folio -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mister Bluebird 10/1 11TH
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2
Underwriter 6/1 9TH
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3
Serenity Dream 9/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Sound And Vision 6/1 8TH