← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Dontspoilasale
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Dontspoilasale (SR 65, 5/1) is the standout signal in this weak Class 6 field. The market has steamered in a massive 52% since opening — the sharpest move in the race by far — and at SR 65 it is joint-top of the field alongside Spacewoman but carries 9lb less than that rival (10-0 vs 9-9 is only a 5lb nominal difference, but Spacewoman has drifted 31%). The drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) and a mark 11lb lower than at its last win (MarkMv:-11) means connections have engineered a very winnable opportunity. Jim & Suzi Best's booking of Finley Marsh (14%, 1,514 runners) over Olivia Tubb on stablemate Nezeeh confirms this is clearly the yard's intended runner. The GoingFit:~ is not a concern given the race is on an AW surface (Kempton Polytrack) where going descriptions are less impactful than on turf. Each-way alternative: Methgal. Main danger: Methgal — Methgal (SR 70, 4/1) is actually the highest SR in the field and arrives on a form string of 472122 showing genuine recent improvement, with Sean Levey booked and a moderate distance record — the slight drift of 17% is the only concern, but at SR 70 it has raw ability to win if the market move on Dontspoilasale proves misleading.
Full result
Winner: Methgal (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Methgal Fox #2 10/3
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2
Generous Rascal 11/1
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3
Iconic Dawn Fox #4 9/2
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4
Spacewoman Fox #3 11/2
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5
No Claims Bonus 10/1
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6
Nezeeh 22/1
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7
Love Alive 33/1
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8
Lahina Bay 10/1
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9
Black Endeavour 11/1
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10
Bill Plumb 12/1
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11
Dontspoilasale Fox #1 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dontspoilasale 5/1 11TH
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2
Methgal 4/1 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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3
Spacewoman 11/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Iconic Dawn 4/1 🥉 3RD