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Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Classical Allusion
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 SP 3/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Classical Allusion (SR:85, 3/1) has steamed in 49% from its opening price — the most dramatic market move in the race by some distance — and drops two class tiers, giving connections every reason to expect a quick strike. Andrew Balding's 18% strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the field, and at 10-1 the weight burden is manageable against rivals carrying similar loads. The DistFit:- flag is a concern at this trip, but class drop plus market confidence is a compelling combination, and the recent form showing a '6' last time out suggests the horse is primed for a bounce at a lower level. What's The Plan (SR:88, 4/1) edges Classical Allusion on raw SR and is proven at the distance, making it the primary danger. Each-way alternative: What's The Plan. Main danger: What's The Plan — What's The Plan carries the joint-highest SR in the field (88), is proven at this distance (DistFit:+), has tightened 17% in the market, and James Fanshawe's 18% trainer strike rate matches Balding's — making it a genuine threat to overturn Classical Allusion's class-drop advantage.
Full result
Winner: Classical Allusion (GB) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Classical Allusion Fox #1 7/2
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2
Wardlaw Fox #4 3/1
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3
Joseph 5/1
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4
Thinthread 11/1
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5
Narragansett 80/1
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6
Aphrodite Spirit Fox #3 11/2
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7
Qitaal 25/1
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8
Golden Circet 22/1
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—
What's The Plan Fox #2 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Classical Allusion 3/1 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
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2
What's The Plan 4/1
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3
Aphrodite Spirit 5/1 6TH
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4
Wardlaw 5/2 🥈 2ND