← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Middle Distance Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Arundel
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 3/1F Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Arundel (SR 68, 10/3) holds the clear SR lead in a modest Class 6 field where no rival breaks 65, and his DistFit:+ confirms he handles this 1m2f trip. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) from his last run is a meaningful aid even if the MarkMv:+7 demands a career-best, and Ed Dunlop at 12% strike rate with Billy Loughnane (18%, 3031 career rides) is a strong booking. Crucially the market has firmed 6% — quiet but consistent money arriving on a horse whose form string of 2-2-4-5-3 shows a consistent placer that may have found the right opportunity dropping in class. The danger is Fast Steps who has steamed in 47% in the market and carries a MarkMv:-15 meaning he's running well below his last winning mark — that is significant latent ability and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Fast Steps. Main danger: Fast Steps — Fast Steps (SR 62, 9/1) has steamed in 47% in the market — the strongest move in the field — carries a MarkMv:-15 suggesting he is running well below his last winning mark with GoingFit:+ confirming today's ground suits him.
Full result
Winner: Arundel (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Arundel Fox #1 7/2
-
2
Super Hit 12/1
-
3
Fast Steps Fox #2 9/1
-
4
Ghost Story Fox #3 6/1
-
5
Ricardo Phillips 10/1
-
6
Kurios Lady 12/1
-
7
Boston Run 14/1
-
8
Uzincso 12/1
-
9
Maywedance 22/1
-
10
The Bay Warrior 16/1
-
11
Divot Fox #4 15/2
-
12
Sir Patchy 28/1
-
13
Sansanetti 11/2
-
14
Golden Phase 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Arundel 10/3 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
-
2
Fast Steps 9/1 🥉 3RD
-
3
Ghost Story 10/1 🏁 4TH
-
4
Divot 11/2 11TH