← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Lord Mansfield Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Letterston Lily
MEDIUM Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Letterston Lily (SR 122, 9/4) is the clear standout in a workmanlike Class 4 field. She carries top weight at 12-2 but her SR of 122 is comfortably the highest in the race, giving her a meaningful ability edge over the next-best Hidden Fortune (SR 114) and Frontier Prince (SR 113). Crucially, multiple signals align: she has a course record of W1P1 at Perth, confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's trip and going, and the market has steamed in 20% to confirm stable confidence. The James Bowen/Mickey Bowen combination is a formidable booking — James Bowen hits 20% career strike rate — and the form figure of '1' on her last start, off the same class, shows she arrives in peak order. The +5 mark rise is the only negative but her SR edge absorbs it comfortably. Each-way alternative: Dolly Dior. Main danger: Hidden Fortune — Hidden Fortune (SR 114, 3/1) arrives on a hot recent form line of 22-11 — two wins on the bounce — for the powerhouse Dan and Harry Skelton combination (22%/27% career strike rates), confirming she is in peak form, and despite the 43% drift her GoingFit:+ and fresh 15-day prep suggests connections are confident she bounces quickly.
Full result
Winner: Frontier Prince (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Frontier Prince Fox #3 5/1
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2
Letterston Lily Fox #1 2/1
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3
Summergrounds 9/1
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4
Timefortom 22/1
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5
Bold Light 14/1
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6
Bel Amigo 16/1
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7
Boston Jury 80/1
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8
Rauzan 12/1
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9
Hidden Fortune Fox #2 3/1
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10
O'Faolains Glory 50/1
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11
Micks Jet 50/1
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—
Dolly Dior Fox #4 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Letterston Lily 9/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Hidden Fortune 3/1 9TH
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3
Frontier Prince 9/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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4
Dolly Dior 17/2