← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Breizh River
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Breizh River (SR 139, 7/2) carries the joint-top SR in the field off a generous 10-10, giving it a significant weight advantage over joint-SR-leader Etalon (also SR 137) who carries 11-8 — a 12lb edge in raw terms. The market has shortened 34% since opening, the strongest steaming signal in the race, suggesting informed money is backing it. GoingFit:+ confirms it handles today's good ground, and dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) means it faces easier opposition than its most recent runs. Three places at this course (Course:W0P3) show Perth familiarity. The MarkMv:+4 is a mild concern but the weight and going combination outweigh it. Each-way alternative: Tamarind Bay. Main danger: Tamarind Bay — Tamarind Bay (SR 137, 3/1) has won twice recently from a Form:3-11U1 sequence, GoingFit:+ on today's ground, and at just 6 years old is the youngest and potentially most progressive horse in the field, though MarkMv:+9 means the handicapper has caught up sharply.
Full result
Winner: The Real Whacker (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Real Whacker 8/1
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2
Caughtinyourtrance 13/2
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3
Breizh River Fox #1 7/2
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4
Boston Rover 11/1
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5
Etalon Fox #3 15/2
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6
King of Answers 10/1
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Tamarind Bay Fox #2 3/1
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El Rio 12/1
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Walk On Quest Fox #4 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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