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British Ebf Supports Racing To School Future Stayers Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Golden Souk
MEDIUM Advised 5/6 SP 11/8F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Golden Souk (SR:158, 5/6) is the clear standout on ability in a novice field where all runners are on equal weight at 9-7. The SR of 158 is comfortably top-class territory and sits 5 points clear of Speyside (SR:153) and a full 11-14 points ahead of the next group. Crucially, the market has steamed in by 38% — serious money backing a horse already favourite — which is a very strong corroborating signal. K.R. Burke's 20% career strike rate is the best trainer figure in the field, and Paul Mulrennan's booking is consistent with Burke running his A-string. With all runners carrying identical weight, there is no handicapping lever to overcome; raw ability dominates, and Golden Souk holds that hand convincingly. Each-way alternative: Speyside. Main danger: The Can Can Man — William Haggas has a 23% career strike rate — the sharpest in the field — and Cieren Fallon's 18% record on a 6/1 shot that has drifted only 55% from what may have been a generous opening price suggests a lightly-raced horse with enough latent ability to threaten at a big yard that rarely runs novices without serious intent.
Full result
Winner: Golden Souk (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Golden Souk Fox #1 5/4
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2
Beyond Question 40/1
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3
El Waabil 11/1
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4
Saxon Lodge 33/1
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5
Indica 33/1
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6
The Can Can Man Fox #3 6/1
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7
Sea The Sense 9/1
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—
Speyside Fox #2 2/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Golden Souk 5/6 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Speyside 4/1
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3
The Can Can Man 6/1 6TH