Weatherbysshop.co.uk Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

15:32 Redcar Wed 23 Sep 2026 0m7f0y Class 4 Good to Firm 8 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Pointed

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Pointed carries the highest SR in the field at 155, a clear edge over Lady Vega (SR:147) and Sheikhnshah (SR:88 — drastically lower despite being favourite). Trained by Jack Channon at a 15% strike rate (best in the field) and racing fresh off a single run 14 days ago, the 4th-place debut form is entirely consistent with a horse going the right way. At 9/4, the market respects the ability without going overboard, and the weight advantage over Paname (9-7 vs 9-2) is meaningful. The SR superiority here is decisive — no other runner combines elite rating with credible connections and a logical form progression. Each-way alternative: Lady Vega. Main danger: Sheikhnshah — Sheikhnshah is the 11/8 market leader with a 22% market move in and course form (W0P1), meaning significant money is backing this horse to improve sharply on its SR:88 — if that rating understates its current ability, the market confidence makes it the most credible threat to upset Pointed.

Verify· #19329

Full result

Winner: Lady Vega (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Lady Vega Fox #2 Gemma Tutty · Joanna Mason 9/2
2 Skewsby Michael & David Easterby · Billy Garritty 18/1
3 Pointed Fox #1 Jack Channon · George Bass 9/4
4 Sheikhnshah Fox #3 Julie Camacho · Oisin Orr 6/4
5 Nip About Tracy Waggott · Connor Beasley 33/1
6 Paname Harry Eustace · Kaiya Fraser 8/1
7 Sergeeva Rebecca Menzies · Paul Mulrennan 18/1
8 Lilac Dandy Alan Brown · Tom Eaves 80/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Pointed 9/4 🥉 3RD
2 Lady Vega 15/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
3 Sheikhnshah 11/8 🏁 4TH