← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Rizal
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 5/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Rizal (SR 85, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by two clear SR points and has been freshened by a 33-day break following a recent 4-1-1 run of form that signals peak condition. The GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good-to-firm surface, and a 10% market move in strongly suggests money is following him despite the MarkMv:+5 burden. Carrying 10-2 is the heaviest weight in the field, but at SR 85 his class edge over the next-best contenders (Domination SR 83, Ciao Capo SR 81) is meaningful enough to offset that penalty on good-to-firm ground where topweights are not as disadvantaged as in testing conditions. Each-way alternative: Ciao Capo. Main danger: Domination — Domination (SR 83, 6/1) carries only 9-6 — a 10lb weight advantage over Rizal — and trainer Harriet Bethell's 21% strike rate is the best in the field; a recent 3-3-1-4 sequence including wins suggests genuine progression at this class level.
Full result
Winner: Rizal (FR) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rizal Fox #1 3/1
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2
Optician 15/2
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3
Percy's Daydream 6/1
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4
Borjina 12/1
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5
Domination Fox #2 11/2
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6
Everyoneknowsadave 12/1
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7
Saxophonist Fox #4 7/1
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8
Ciao Capo Fox #3 7/1
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9
Night Wolf 50/1
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10
Poet's Dawn 22/1
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11
Mayflower Billy 22/1
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12
His Finest Hour 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rizal 5/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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2
Domination 6/1 5TH
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3
Ciao Capo 7/1 8TH
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4
Saxophonist 13/2 7TH