← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racingtv/freetrial Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Emperor's Son
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Emperor's Son (SR:78, 7/2) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has been dramatically backed from a much larger price — a 56% market move in is the strongest market signal by a significant margin in this six-runner field, suggesting informed money with knowledge of yard intentions from the small Coward operation (34 runners, so selective and deliberate). At 9-10 he is lightly weighted relative to rivals and his age (5) puts him at the prime end of a sprint handicap. The DistFit:- is the one concern at 5f, but the GoingFit:~ is workable on good-to-firm and his recent form of 941098 shows a mixture with a '9' and '1' present — the last-run '8' is a finish position not a catastrophe, and the market move today suggests connections expect a return to form. Each-way alternative: Tees Aggregates. Main danger: Tees Aggregates — Tees Aggregates (SR:70, 11/2) has also been heavily backed — a 52% market move in — and holds a GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm conditions, giving it the best going advantage in the field, and the hood (HG:h) first-time application can sharpen a horse that has previously underperformed.
Full result
Winner: Sergeant Mayer (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sergeant Mayer Fox #3 2/1
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2
Emperor's Son Fox #1 10/3
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3
Tees Aggregates Fox #2 7/1
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4
Bravo Hotel 25/1
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5
Ventura Express 9/4
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6
Guernsey Lady 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3