← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Aja Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes (Riders Had Ridden No More Than 3 Winners At Start Of Season)
Mr Fox’s call
Night Emperor
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Night Emperor (SR:64, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this field and holds Course:W1P2 at Redcar — a meaningful edge on a track where familiarity matters. Carrying 10-7 gives it a useful weight advantage over King of War (11-5) and Judicature (11-3), and its recent form 445143 shows consistent competitiveness with a win last time out (rightmost digit 3, penultimate 4, but the '1' third from right confirms a recent success). GoingFit:~ is acceptable on Good to Firm. The slight 9% market drift is the one caution, but the course record and SR superiority over rivals compensate, and Mrs Tracy Gundry (3 winners at start of season) is a manageable amateur booking. Each-way alternative: Pedro The Poet. Main danger: Pedro The Poet — Pedro The Poet (SR:54, 8/1) has steamed in 26% in the market — the strongest move in the field — and its DistFit:? and GoingFit:? mean there is no proven negative at today's trip or ground, leaving the door open for a positive surprise at a generous price.
Full result
Winner: Soul Warrior (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Soul Warrior 17/2
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2
Pedro The Poet Fox #2 9/2
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3
Irish Incentive 14/1
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4
Night Emperor Fox #1 4/1
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5
Oselton 10/1
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6
Sandret Fox #4 10/1
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7
Mr Jetman 22/1
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8
Judicature 17/2
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9
Ganthorpe 40/1
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10
South Kensington 11/2
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11
King of War Fox #3 5/1
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12
Ryefield 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Night Emperor 7/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Pedro The Poet 8/1 🥈 2ND
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3
King of War 6/1 11TH
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4
Sandret 11/1 6TH