Guinness Kerry National Handicap Steeplechase (Grade 3)

16:15 Listowel Wed 23 Sep 2026 2m7f180y Class 1 Good 21 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Nowwhatdoyouthink

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%

10TH

Mr Fox says

Nowwhatdoyouthink leads the field on SR at 141, a clear 7-point advantage over the next best (Downmexicoway and Funiculi Funicula at 134), and carries 11-7 — a full 5lb less than the two top-weighted runners (French Dynamite, Funiculi Funicula at 11-12). The market has already signalled confidence: a 29% inward move to 7/2 under Jack Kennedy (23% career strike rate, 1202 rides) from the Gordon Elliott yard (18%, 3996 runners) is meaningful money in a competitive Grade 3. The tongue-tie is retained from previous runs. The DistFit and GoingFit are marked '?' indicating limited sample, which is a genuine caveat, but the class and weight combination here is hard to ignore against this field, and the form string 1213-4 shows consistent competitive effort at a high level. Each-way alternative: Downmexicoway. Main danger: Downmexicoway — Downmexicoway matches Nowwhatdoyouthink on SR at 134 (gap is real but not enormous), carries 11-7 joint-lightest alongside the selection, has steamed in 28% to 4/1 under Darragh O'Keeffe for Henry de Bromhead, and a form string of 2134-5 shows consistent placing — the market move is the single most aggressive in the field and cannot be dismissed.

Verify· #19348

Full result

Winner: Ballygunner Castle (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.