← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Paul Moynihan (Ex VFI President) Memorial Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
New Grange
SPECULATIVE Advised evn SP 10/11F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
New Grange (SR 79, evens) holds the strongest jockey booking in the field by a considerable margin — Patrick Mullins at 33% career strike rate from 462 rides is elite bumper-riding calibre, and the market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming stable confidence. The form reads '1-' which means a win last time out in bumper company, and at 4 years old this is a progressive, lightly-raced type dropping 4lb versus the 12-0 brigade. At evens the price is short but the Mullins booking plus market support plus win on debut form is the strongest multi-signal case in the field. Justice Hall (SR 83, 17/2) is the highest-rated and has steamed in 52% but the jockey strike rate of 20% from Gleeson is respectable — the danger is real. Each-way alternative: Justice Hall. Main danger: Justice Hall — Justice Hall carries the highest SR in the shortlist at 83, has steamed in 52% — the most aggressive market move in the field — and Gleeson's 20% strike rate gives the yard genuine winning intent.
Full result
Winner: New Grange (IRE) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
New Grange Fox #1 10/11
-
2
Well Bud 12/1
-
3
Back In Favour 14/1
-
4
Rond Point Fox #4 4/1
-
5
Through The Storm 100/1
-
6
Mega Shoc 80/1
-
7
Chanson D'argent 125/1
-
8
Macoo 150/1
-
9
Young Doran Fox #3 7/2
-
10
Justice Hall Fox #2 8/1
-
11
Prometteuse 200/1
-
—
In Around Thehouse 16/1
-
—
Derrymore Jack 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
New Grange evn SP 10/11F 🏆 WON
-
2
Justice Hall 17/2 10TH
-
3
Young Doran 9/2 9TH
-
4
Rond Point 5/1 🏁 4TH