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House Of Bruar Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race

14:49 Perth Thu 24 Sep 2026 2m0f47y Class 5 Good 9 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Expert Analysis silks

Expert Analysis

SPECULATIVE Advised 6/5 Est. 38%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Expert Analysis (SR:91, 6/5, 11-10) carries the highest SR in the field by 3lb over Elemental Eye and is trained by Jennie Candlish whose 17% strike rate is comfortably the best among the nine handlers here. The form string 80-P32 shows progressive improvement culminating in back-to-back placed efforts, and at just 10 days since last run the horse is clearly being trained for this. The main concern is GoingFit:- and DistFit:-, but at 4 years of age in a novices' limited handicap with a markedly superior SR and a confident 6/5 market, those negatives are offset by the likelihood that the field as a whole has similar going/distance questions — only Gonnino shows DistFit:~ and he has drifted 51% from his opening price. Sean Quinlan's 15% career strike rate adds professional execution to a Candlish yard that is clearly live about this runner. Each-way alternative: Elemental Eye. Main danger: Struth — Struth's 36% market steam is the most aggressive move in the race and connections booking Derek Fox (12% career SR) over a drop back to Class 5 with tongue-tie plus cheekpieces suggests the yard believes a first win is imminent, even if the form string -66666 makes it hard to trust on paper.

Verify· #19489

Full result

Winner: Elemental Eye (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Elemental Eye silks Elemental Eye Fox #2 Iain Jardine · Brian Hughes 9/2
  2. 2 Curious Mrs Fox silks Curious Mrs Fox Fox #4 David Thompson · Joshua Thompson(5) 11/2
  3. 3 Expert Analysis silks Expert Analysis Fox #1 Jennie Candlish · Sean Quinlan 11/10
  4. 4 Gonnino silks Gonnino Gary Rutherford · Callum Bewley 9/1
  5. 5 Struth silks Struth Fox #3 Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · Derek Fox 6/1
  6. 6 Boston Queen silks Boston Queen William Young Jnr · Conor Rabbitt(3) 50/1
  7. 7 Manhatane silks Manhatane James Moffatt · Leah Noreci(7) 20/1
  8. 8 Ribble River silks Ribble River Lizzie Quinlan · Peter Kavanagh 20/1
  9. — King Gold Boy silks King Gold Boy Jean McGregor · Charlie Maggs(3) 200/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Expert Analysis silks Expert Analysis 6/5 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Elemental Eye silks Elemental Eye 9/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Struth silks Struth 5/1 5TH
  4. 4 Curious Mrs Fox silks Curious Mrs Fox 13/2 🥈 2ND