← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Edinburgh Gin Owner Trainer Jockey Awards Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Letterston Lily
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Letterston Lily (SR:129, 2/1) is the highest-rated runner in this field and combines that ability edge with the strongest market signal: a 53% inward move to 2/1, confirming substantial market confidence. James Bowen (20% strike rate from 1,192 runners) is a top booking, and Course:W1P2 at Perth confirms she handles this track. The ClassMv:↑2 is the main concern, but Mickey Bowen's yard (16% strike rate) clearly has her primed — running just one day after a previous appearance suggests a quick-turnaround yard in form, and MarkMv:+5 is a manageable rise. GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's good ground, and at 11-8 she carries a comfortable weight for her SR. The stable's #1 choice is clearly Lily over Lady given James Bowen's jockey assignment versus Sean Bowen, and the 53% steam dwarfs Lady's 18% move. Each-way alternative: Marsiac. Main danger: Marsiac — Marsiac (SR:124, 4/1) has steamed in 30% from opening, carries only 11-13 at age 5 with room to improve, and GoingFit:+ confirms it handles today's conditions — Kim Bailey at 16% strike rate with Ciaran Gethings is a sharp booking, and the long 194-day absence may mask a yard that has produced a fresh, improved horse.
Full result
Winner: Idem (FR) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Idem 17/2
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2
Letterston Lady Fox #4 5/2
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3
The G Wizard 12/1
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4
Medieval Gold 16/1
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5
Divilabother Fox #3 13/2
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6
Al Sayah 13/2
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7
Lets Mingle 28/1
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8
My Chiquita 11/1
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9
Marsiac Fox #2 4/1
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10
Spit Spot 14/1
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11
Lord Accord 18/1
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Letterston Lily Fox #1 2/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4