← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Cayman Tai
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Cayman Tai (SR:74, 9/2) has steamed in 41% from its opening price — the most significant market move in the field and a strong signal that informed money is landing on this horse. It carries a workable 9-9, a 7lb advantage over top-weight Fiorella Princess, and holds a Course:W1P1 record at Southwell AW showing it handles this track. Running off the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=) means the handicapper has not punished it, and at Class 5 on the same level (ClassMv:=) it faces no step up in grade. The form string 357848 includes an 8 on the penultimate run but the late market confidence overrides that concern — connections clearly believe this horse is returning to form today. Each-way alternative: Guernsey Angel. Main danger: Guernsey Angel — Guernsey Angel (SR:75, 5/1) has steamed in 49% — matching Cayman Tai's market confidence — carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-4, holds Course:W1P1 at Southwell, and a MarkMv:-6 means it is running off a mark 6lb below its last win, giving the handicapper a real head-start.
Full result
Winner: Court Drive (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Court Drive Fox #4 11/2
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2
Got The Booty 16/1
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3
Cayman Tai Fox #1 3/1
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4
Fiorella Princess Fox #2 11/8
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5
Guernsey Angel Fox #3 15/2
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6
Elvetham 12/1
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7
Isle of Lismore 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4