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Eitc Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap Stakes (Haydock Training Race) (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)
Mr Fox’s call
Sweet Kiss
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Sweet Kiss (SR:72, 7/2) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries a favourable 9-6 — the lightest weight among the top-SR horses — and has consistent placed form (626225) suggesting reliability without blowouts. Tim Easterby (11% strike rate, 4,603 runners) is a high-volume trainer who places horses well in handicaps, and Jake Dickson's 13% career rate from 230 rides is the strongest jockey strike rate in the field. The class drop gives a genuine edge over rivals running at the same level, and 9-6 on soft ground is a meaningful lb advantage over Condotti (9-5) and Ablon (10-0). Condotti steamed in 14% but carries DistFit:- over this 1m2f42y trip, a significant concern on soft ground where stamina is tested. Each-way alternative: Condotti. Main danger: Condotti — Condotti (SR:74, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 14% — the market is backing it with conviction — but its DistFit:- over this trip on soft ground is the key risk that keeps it from being the primary selection.
Full result
Winner: Condotti (IRE) at SP 15/8J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Condotti Fox #2 2/1
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2
Falcon Nine 6/1
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3
Solanna Fox #4 6/1
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4
Sweet Kiss Fox #1 5/2
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5
Pleasant Man 12/1
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6
Dragonflame 40/1
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7
Titian 8/1
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—
Ablon Fox #3 13/2
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Study Up 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sweet Kiss 7/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Condotti 2/1 SP 15/8J 🏆 WON
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3
Ablon 13/2
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4
Solanna 15/2 🥉 3RD