← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
United Infrastructure Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Showcasing Glory
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 SP 7/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Showcasing Glory (SR 150, 9/2) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and has steamed in dramatically — 60% market move in from opening price — which is the single strongest market signal in this race. Despite a modest debut showing of 7th, the market has clearly taken encouragement from that run at the same class level, and the trainer Charlie Johnston operates at 13% strike rate from a very high volume of runners (2506), suggesting this is a yard that knows when a horse is ready to improve. At 9-7 with a clean weight draw and no headgear concerns, this is a straightforward profile for a two-year-old on the AW improving off a first run. Dreamed (SR 149, 4/1) is the primary danger as a near-equal SR but has drifted 13% from opening, and Alberich (SR 145) with its 14% market move gives secondary each-way appeal. Each-way alternative: Alberich. Main danger: Dreamed — Dreamed carries SR 149 — just one point below Showcasing Glory — with P.J. McDonald booked (14% career strike rate, 1486 runners) and has already shown ability with a 4th on debut at the same class level, meaning any improvement puts it squarely in contention despite the 13% drift.
Full result
Winner: Showcasing Glory (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Showcasing Glory Fox #1 9/2
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2
Alberich Fox #3 9/2
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3
Pushing The Limits 66/1
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4
Dreamed Fox #2 3/1
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5
So Farhh 33/1
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6
Lion's Den Fox #4 14/1
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7
Comeonfeelthenoise 33/1
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8
Arenite 4/1
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9
Seadreamin 50/1
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10
Top Cote 13/2
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11
Veloxian 150/1
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12
Hidden Army 14/1
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13
Binksy Boy 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Showcasing Glory 9/2 SP 7/1 🏆 WON
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2
Dreamed 4/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Alberich 7/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Lion's Den 12/1 6TH