← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Copybet Fixed Brush Hurdle Series Final Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Road To Wembley
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Road To Wembley (SR:119, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries 12-0 as top-weight — a burden offset by that SR advantage, as the next-best SR is 115 (Square d'Alboni off 11-6). The market has steamed 19% since opening, and Sean Bowen (24% career strike rate, 2359 runners) is one of the strongest jockey bookings on the card. Course form of W1P1 at Worcester and GoingFit:+ on today's good ground confirms the horse is suited by conditions; Form:21-11 shows a horse finishing last season in top order with two successive wins. The step up two classes is a genuine risk, but the combination of highest SR, elite jockey, strongest market move, and confirmed course/going suitability makes this the standout case in what is otherwise a murky handicap. Each-way alternative: Down To Business. Main danger: Down To Business — Down To Business (SR:110, 4/1) is the market's second choice, ridden by Harry Skelton (27% career strike rate), has course form W1P1, GoingFit:+, and a last-time-out win — the lightest weight among the serious contenders at 11-1 gives it a real lbs advantage over the top-weight selection.
Full result
Winner: Lock Stock (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Lock Stock Fox #3 9/2
-
2
Media Mogul 25/1
-
3
Oneinthewell 14/1
-
4
Road To Wembley Fox #1 7/2
-
5
Katarcice 33/1
-
6
Miss Kingston 20/1
-
7
Square d'Alboni Fox #4 12/1
-
8
Who's Glen 25/1
-
9
Devon Red 12/1
-
10
Trouville 8/1
-
11
So Proud 16/1
-
12
Whinney Hill 100/1
-
13
Down To Business Fox #2 7/2
-
—
Regarde 18/1
-
—
Yellow Card 22/1
-
—
Likewhatyousee 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Road To Wembley 9/2 🏁 4TH
-
2
Down To Business 4/1 13TH
-
3
Lock Stock 13/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
-
4
Square d'Alboni 17/2 7TH