← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Guinness Listowel Mares Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Isdistheone
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Isdistheone (SR:87, 2/1) leads the field on ability and carries a manageable 11-0, giving her a meaningful weight advantage over Pure Logic (12-0) and Run For The Border (11-10) while rating higher than both. The 15% market shortening is the strongest directional signal in the race — money has come for her with purpose, and trainer Declan Queally's 18% career strike rate is comfortably the best in the field. The tongue-tie is retained from her last run, and a form line of 756-03 shows recent placed efforts; a '3' last time out on an unknown going suggests she's rounding back into form. Strong Contender (SR:90) is the sole horse to rate above her but is trained by Norman Lee at a 4% strike rate with an apprentice rider, undermining confidence in that peak SR being realised today. Each-way alternative: Pretty Wild. Main danger: Pretty Wild — Pretty Wild (SR:86, 9/2) is trained by E Bolger at a 13% strike rate and ridden by Harry Cobden (22% career SR), the strongest jockey booking in the race by a significant margin, and at just 4 years old on a light form sample carries the most upside in the field.
Full result
Winner: Fire Coral (GB) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fire Coral 11/1
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2
Jolly D'olivate 40/1
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3
Pure Logic Fox #4 9/1
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4
Western Opera 14/1
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5
Strong Contender Fox #3 8/1
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6
Run For The Border 15/2
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7
Isdistheone Fox #1 2/1
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8
Its Not Over Yet 20/1
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9
Pretty Wild Fox #2 5/1
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Shing Shang Lily 14/1
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Moonshine Girl 15/2
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Leading Endeavour 33/1
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Madam Elle 40/1
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Ixigreczed 40/1
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Rumble Demosa -
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Final Decision -
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Silin Alainn -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Isdistheone 2/1 7TH
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2
Pretty Wild 9/2 9TH
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3
Strong Contender 9/1 5TH
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4
Pure Logic 9/1 🥉 3RD