British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

14:40 Haydock Sat 26 Sep 2026 0m7f212y Class 3 Soft 9 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Kaguyahime

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/5 SP 10/11F Est. 38%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Kaguyahime (SR 158, 4/5) is the clear ability leader in this field by a significant margin — 8 points clear of the next-best Perfect Gal (SR 150) and 11 points clear of She's Got A Way and Woollahra (both SR 147). Critically, the market has shortened 12% since opening, meaning money is being placed with conviction rather than drifting. Roger Varian's 20% career strike rate is the strongest in this field and he sends the horse stepping down a class (ClassMv:↓1), which is a tactical advantage. The sole concern is the form figure of 3 — a debut third — in a novice context on soft ground with no distance or going fit data, but the SR gap is large enough and the market support sufficient to make this a clear selection. Each-way alternative: Perfect Gal. Main danger: Perfect Gal — Perfect Gal (SR 150, 8/1) has steamed in 15% in the market, holds course form (W0P1 at Haydock), and Cieren Fallon's 18% strike rate is the strongest jockey booking in the field behind the favourite — a combination of track knowledge and market confidence that cannot be ignored.

Verify· #19873

Full result

Winner: Kaguyahime (IRE) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Kaguyahime Fox #1 Roger Varian · Sean Dylan Bowen 8/11
2 My Girl Dee Mo Hugo Palmer · David Probert 17/2
3 Woollahra Fox #4 Jack Morland · Callum Rodriguez 12/1
4 She's Got A Way Fox #3 K. R. Burke · Sam James 15/2
5 Hotterthanjuly Richard Hannon · Sean Levey 9/1
6 Perfect Gal Fox #2 Rebecca Menzies · Cieren Fallon 12/1
7 Shabby Michael Bell · Callum Shepherd 33/1
8 Zirconic Hugo Palmer · Ashley Lewis(3) 25/1
9 Miss Faithfull Charlie Fellowes · Paddy Bradley 33/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Kaguyahime 4/5 SP 10/11F 🏆 WON
2 Perfect Gal 8/1 6TH
3 She's Got A Way 7/1 🏁 4TH
4 Woollahra 10/1 🥉 3RD