← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Summer Plate Ladies Day 2027 On Sale Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Sure Touch
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Sure Touch (SR 133, 3/1) carries top weight at 12-0 but is the class leader in this small field and brings the strongest course record by far — W3P4 at Market Rasen is exceptional course specialisation that repeatedly translates on this track. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm comfort with today's 2m5f89y trip on good ground, and the drop in class (↓1) from recent runs gives a meaningful edge. The 10% market drift is a concern, but with only four runners the thin market can distort easily; the course stats and class-drop combination are hard to dismiss. Olly Murphy's 24% strike rate over 1793 runners is elite for National Hunt, and Lewis Saunders retains the 5lb claim which partially offsets the 12-0 burden. Each-way alternative: Nickelforce. Main danger: Nickelforce — Nickelforce (SR 127, 9/4) is shortening in the market (Mkt:in9%), drops two class tiers (↓2), is proven at distance (DistFit:+) and on this going (GoingFit:+), and carries the lightest competitive weight at 11-0 — that 14lb pull with Sure Touch on good ground in a chase over 2m5f is a live advantage.
Full result
Winner: Jet To Vegas (IRE) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Jet To Vegas 5/2
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2
Fringill Dike Fox #3 9/2
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3
Nickelforce Fox #2 7/4
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4
Sure Touch Fox #1 10/3
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3