← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Block Free Services Lincoln Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Indemnity
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Indemnity (SR 127, 11/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field alongside Un Sens A La Vie but carries 12-0 — that weight burden is offset by exceptional course-and-distance credentials: W1P3 at Market Rasen, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirming proven ability on today's good ground over this exact trip. The market has shortened 8% since opening, signalling late professional support. Emma Lavelle runs at an 18% strike rate and Ben Jones at 17% — both solid connections for a Class 2 handicap. The MarkMv:+13 is a concern, running off a mark 13lb higher than the last win, but the SR superiority, course form, and steaming market override that worry. Each-way alternative: Crooked Path. Main danger: Crooked Path — Crooked Path (SR 120, 4/1) carries a featherweight 10-4, has been freshened up in 16 days, holds four-star AI probability, and is steaming in the market (Mkt:in8%) — the GoingFit:- flag is the chief concern, but the weight advantage and market confidence at a competitive price make it the most dangerous rival to Indemnity.
Full result
Winner: Un Sens A La Vie (FR) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Un Sens A La Vie Fox #3 5/2
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2
Morning Mayhem 28/1
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3
Crooked Path Fox #2 4/1
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4
Inappropriate 11/1
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5
Belvedere Blast 50/1
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6
Indemnity Fox #1 6/1
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7
Indian River 11/2
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8
Karoline Banbou 40/1
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9
Howth 10/1
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Edelak 12/1
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Saligo Bay 25/1
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Squeezebox Fox #4 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Indemnity 11/2 6TH
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2
Crooked Path 4/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Un Sens A La Vie 3/1 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON
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4
Squeezebox 12/1