← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tattersalls Online Royal Lodge Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Haffner
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 7/4F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Haffner (SR 137) is the clear class standout in this field, rated 13 points clear of the next-best Quest For Stars (SR 124) and comfortably ahead of the duelling 3/1 shots Burning Up and First Law (SR 110 and 106 respectively). Crucially, Haffner brings proven course form (W1P1 at Newmarket), confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+), and confirmed going fitness (GoingFit:+) — the only runner in the field to tick all three boxes. Ryan Moore, striking at 24% career strike rate, is the strongest jockey booking here, and the 4/1 price represents fair value given the SR superiority. The concern is the last-run figure of 7 in a form string of 21217, but read right-to-left the sequence shows 7-1-2-1-2 — meaning the '7' is the oldest run and the horse has been consistently competitive since, finishing 2nd last time out at Group level, which is no disgrace. Each-way alternative: Quest For Stars. Main danger: Quest For Stars — Quest For Stars (SR 124, 4/1) is the Appleby yard's #1 runner given the market support (in 6% vs First Law's 7% drift), has proven distance fitness, a form string showing three wins before last run, and Appleby's 34% strike rate means a well-prepared runner cannot be dismissed despite the 12lb rise in mark since last win.
Full result
Winner: Haffner (USA) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Haffner Fox #1 7/2
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2
Burning Up Fox #3 7/2
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3
Quicken Away 6/1
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4
First Law Fox #4 7/2
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5
Quest For Stars Fox #2 4/1
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6
Rocket Boy 14/1
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7
Iwasjustsaying 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Haffner 4/1 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Quest For Stars 4/1 5TH
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3
Burning Up 3/1 🥈 2ND
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4
First Law 3/1 🏁 4TH