← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Be Frank
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Be Frank (SR:75, 11/2) carries a competitive weight of 9-10 and has steamed in 31% in the market — the most significant market move in the race — which is a strong signal from connections. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) makes this significantly easier company and Ian Williams is running two in the race; Be Frank holds the stronger market support and the more experienced jockey booking in Jack Callan, making him the yard's clear #1. The DistFit:- is a concern at 7f15y, but the class drop and the dramatic market support override this on a track where fitness and confidence matter more than raw trip suitability. At 11/2, the market move from longer odds represents genuine value given the class relief. Each-way alternative: Caragio. Main danger: Caragio — Caragio holds the highest SR in the field at 83 and has shortened 13% in the market at a competitive 7/2, though GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine concerns that could stop it winning outright but it retains enough raw ability to threaten at a shorter price.
Full result
Winner: Mystical Storm (GB) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mystical Storm 9/1
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2
Decem Starr 20/1
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3
Caragio Fox #2 7/2
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4
Forest Caper 11/1
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5
Newsreader 11/1
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6
Packetofbiscuits Fox #3 5/1
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7
You Will See 28/1
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8
Kiani King Fox #4 5/1
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9
Justice Court 8/1
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10
Be Frank Fox #1 13/2
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11
Bundok 12/1
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12
Beauzon 50/1
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—
Thapa VC 14/1
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—
Midsummer Storm -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Be Frank 11/2 10TH
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2
Caragio 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Packetofbiscuits 9/2 6TH
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4
Kiani King 15/2 8TH