← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Churchill Tyres Beresford Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
City of Dubai
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
City of Dubai (SR 113, 10/3) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has steamed in 23% in the market — the sharpest move of any runner — suggesting significant professional support. His form of 1-2-5 reads right-to-left as a recent fifth, but the SR of 113 comfortably leads the field, and P. Twomey's 24% career strike rate is the strongest trainer figure declared. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles today's mile on good ground, unlike several rivals who carry unknowns ('?'). Noble Exhibit is the clear danger as the even-money favourite with a 17% market move in and Aidan O'Brien's clear yard #1 (Lordan booking, tightest market), but SR 107 sits 6 points below City of Dubai and the form line of 3-1 is a shorter sample. Each-way alternative: Shakespeare. Main danger: Noble Exhibit — Noble Exhibit is the 10/11 favourite, backed in 17%, with Aidan O'Brien deploying Wayne Lordan — the yard's preferred jockey for their most fancied runner — and a SR of 107 backed by a winning last run, making him a genuine threat to any price alternative.
Full result
Winner: Noble Exhibit (IRE) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Noble Exhibit Fox #2 5/6
-
2
City of Dubai Fox #1 4/1
-
3
Drumbeat 18/1
-
4
Shakespeare Fox #3 4/1
-
5
Tommy Quick 14/1
-
6
Venetian Power Fox #4 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4