← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Izuzu Ireland Handicap

15:45 Curragh Sat 26 Sep 2026 0m7f0y Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Excellent Believe silks

Excellent Believe

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Excellent Believe (SR 93, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries 10-0 — a manageable weight given the SR edge over rivals. Crucially, both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at this trip and on good ground, the two most relevant conditions today. The market has shortened 8% (Mkt:in8%), indicating money is coming for this horse despite the recent 0-form figure — the last three runs show 3-0-0-7 which looks scrappy, but Colin Keane (16% career SR, 2334 runners — high-volume, top-level jockey) retaining the ride is a meaningful signal that connections believe a performance is imminent. At 9/2 there is genuine each-way value in a competitive 11-runner handicap. Each-way alternative: Headmaster. Main danger: Dmaniac — Dmaniac (SR 92, 11/2) is second-highest rated, carries only 9-2 (1lb2lb weight relief vs Excellent Believe), has two course wins from seven visits (Course:W2P5), and DistFit:+ — the market drift of 15% is a concern but the course familiarity and low weight could offset that if the going suits.

Verify· #19912

Full result

Winner: Uncle Goalie (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Uncle Goalie silks Uncle Goalie Rory Anthony Devine · Rory Cleary 11/1
  2. 2 Eddie G silks Eddie G Adrian McGuinness · Declan McDonogh 11/1
  3. 3 Excellent Believe silks Excellent Believe Fox #1 Stephen Thorne · Colin Keane 10/3
  4. 4 Dmaniac silks Dmaniac Fox #2 Martin Hassett · W. J. Lee 8/1
  5. 5 City House silks City House Adrian McGuinness · Adam Caffrey 11/1
  6. 6 Punica Granatum silks Punica Granatum Mrs J. Harrington · Keithen Kennedy(5) 12/1
  7. 7 Temperance silks Temperance Miss Kate McGivern · Chris Hayes 25/1
  8. 8 Unique Journey silks Unique Journey Fox #4 Daniel James Murphy · Ben Coen 5/1
  9. 9 Rahmi silks Rahmi J. P. Murtagh · Rory Mulligan(5) 11/2
  10. 10 Headmaster silks Headmaster Fox #3 Edward Lynam · Reese Holohan(7) 11/2
  11. — Love Billy Boy silks Love Billy Boy G. O'Leary · G. F. Carroll 16/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Excellent Believe silks Excellent Believe 9/2 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Dmaniac silks Dmaniac 11/2 🏁 4TH
  3. 3 Headmaster silks Headmaster 5/1 10TH
  4. 4 Unique Journey silks Unique Journey 11/2 8TH