← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Danger Alert
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Danger Alert (SR:64, 10/3) is the class leader in this field and the market has moved dramatically in its favour — steaming in 53% since opening, which is a powerful signal in a Class 6 sprint. The MarkMv:-29 indicates a significant drop in the handicap mark since last winning, making this a potentially very well-treated runner on official terms. While DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns at 5f60y on good to firm, the SR advantage (64 vs the next-best group at 60) combined with the strongest market confidence in the field — and a trainer-jockey booking suggesting intent — makes this the standout pick. The weight of 9-9 is manageable relative to rivals carrying far lower SRs. Each-way alternative: Harry Brown. Main danger: Harry Brown — Harry Brown (SR:60, 4/1) is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries a lighter weight of 9-2 versus Danger Alert's 9-9, has steamed in 31% in the market, and holds Course:W0P3 at Brighton — the 7lb weight advantage over the selection on this sharp track is a real physical edge.
Full result
Winner: Roman Spring (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Roman Spring 5/1
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2
Beach Partee Fox #4 17/2
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3
Bated Breeze Fox #3 9/2
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4
Diamond Dreamer 16/1
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5
Harry Brown Fox #2 7/2
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6
Stapleford Park 50/1
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7
Dreambird Dolly 6/1
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8
Danger Alert Fox #1 10/3
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9
Anglesey Lad 28/1
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—
Desdemona 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Danger Alert 10/3 8TH
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2
Harry Brown 4/1 5TH
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3
Bated Breeze 4/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Beach Partee 7/1 🥈 2ND