← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Annual Members Of Hamilton Park Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Uncle Liam
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Uncle Liam (SR:60, 4/1) shares the joint-highest SR in the field and carries a manageable 9-11, giving him a lbs advantage over Masekela (10-0, SR:30) who is effectively out of contention. Crucially, Uncle Liam posts a GoingFit:+ confirming proven ability in soft ground — the key going condition today — and holds outstanding course form (W2P5 at Hamilton), making him a genuine specialist here. The market has shortened 15% since opening, indicating stable confidence from Jim Goldie's yard (14% strike rate), and as Stable:1 he is clearly Goldie's number one runner over stablemate Storm On Jura who is drifting 21%. Running off a mark just 5lb above his last win (MarkMv:+5) is a modest enough rise at this Class 6 level. Each-way alternative: Off Spin. Main danger: Off Spin — Off Spin (SR:60, 4/1) matches Uncle Liam on SR, is 4lb lighter at 9-7, has steamed in 41% in the market, and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) — though GoingFit:? and DistFit:- on soft ground and this trip are real concerns, the dramatic market support cannot be ignored.
Full result
Winner: Off Spin (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Off Spin Fox #2 5/1
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2
Storm On Jura 12/1
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3
Uncle Liam Fox #1 7/2
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4
African Gib Fox #4 7/1
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5
Crown Inn To Win 14/1
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6
Hansteen Fox #3 9/1
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7
Hickton 8/1
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8
Masekela 33/1
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9
Due To Shine 50/1
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10
Sunnysideofdstreet 11/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Uncle Liam 4/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Off Spin 4/1 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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3
Hansteen 11/1 6TH
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4
African Gib 7/1 🏁 4TH