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Mr Fox’s call
Stipulation
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Stipulation (SR:63, 5/1) is the most compelling selection once the market move is weighted properly — a 40% inward move from opening price is the strongest steaming signal in the field and suggests informed money despite a modest SR. Course form is excellent (W1P4 at Wolverhampton), GoingFit:~ confirms the good surface is not a problem, MarkMv:-3 means the handicapper has gifted a 3lb reduction since last win, and carrying only 10-9 gives a weight edge over Baloo's Blues (11-1) and Pursuit of Truth (11-2). The recent form string of 867620 is unimpressive on face value, but the drop in mark combined with the dramatic market move suggests connections expect improvement today. Each-way alternative: Baloo's Blues. Main danger: Baloo's Blues — Baloo's Blues (SR:71, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and returns just 13 days after a recent run with Charles Hills' 14% stable strike rate behind it, meaning if the GoingFit:- concern proves overstated on good Wolverhampton AW, it has the raw ability to dominate at the class level.
Full result
Winner: No Knee Never (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
No Knee Never Fox #4 2/1
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2
Wrist Art 14/1
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3
Stipulation Fox #1 10/3
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4
Little She 13/2
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5
Popeye Doyle 20/1
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6
Star Start 17/2
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7
Harbour Vision 25/1
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8
Molly Valentine 33/1
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9
Pursuit of Truth Fox #3 5/1
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10
Redredrobin 33/1
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—
Baloo's Blues Fox #2 2/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Stipulation 5/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Baloo's Blues 11/4
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3
Pursuit of Truth 13/2 9TH
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4
No Knee Never 10/3 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON