Molson Coors Beverage Company Handicap

15:44 Down Royal Mon 28 Sep 2026 7f26y Good 16 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Fortuity

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/1 Est. 22%

10TH

Mr Fox says

Fortuity (SR:65, 7/1) is one of the joint-highest rated runners in the field and carries a very manageable 9-3 — the lightest weight among the top SR horses, giving a clear lbs advantage over Barbapapa (SR:61, 10-4) and Send Harry (SR:63, 10-0). Mrs Harrington's yard operates at 11% strike rate from 1,609 runners — a reliable indicator — and Fortuity's MarkMv:-1 confirms a slightly eased mark since last win, a small but genuine edge. The GoingFit:~ on today's good ground is acceptable, and the distance fit (DistFit:~) is consistent with a horse that has placed over similar trips. The 52-day break is the only flag, but the cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest connections are sharpening the horse for this return. Each-way alternative: Una Matata. Main danger: Una Matata — Una Matata (SR:57, 15/2) drops 7lb off its last winning mark (MarkMv:-7) — the biggest mark reduction in the field — and trainer McGuinness will be targeting this as the stable's primary runner given the lighter weight (9-6) versus stablemate Minaun View, making a big move in the handicap perfectly plausible.

Verify· #20269

Full result

Winner: Minaun View (GB) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.