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Racing TV Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Furhaan
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Furhaan (SR:65, 5/2) presents the most compelling multi-signal case in a modest Class 6 field. The 21% market move inward is significant — money is being placed with purpose — and a MarkMv:-6 means he's running off a mark 6lb lower than his last win, the most favourable handicap position in the race. Jim Goldie's yard has nominated Paul Mulrennan for stablemate Aighear but has sent the apprentice Lauren Young to Furhaan, which may suggest Aighear is the yard's nominal #1; however, Furhaan's stronger SR (65 vs 57), the bigger mark reduction, and the sharper market move all point to Furhaan being the more live contender. The 9-13 weight is manageable in heavy ground over 1m7f, and dropping a class gives him every chance to get competitive. Each-way alternative: Aighear. Main danger: Aighear — Aighear (SR:57, 5/2) has an outstanding Course:W3P5 record at Ayr and Paul Mulrennan — a more experienced jockey than Furhaan's apprentice — aboard, and as Goldie's likely yard #1 could outrun his slightly inferior SR if the course specialist angle proves decisive on this heavy surface.
Full result
Winner: Aighear (GB) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Aighear Fox #2 7/2
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2
Furhaan Fox #1 2/1
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3
Aussie Pearl 16/1
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4
Ebony Maw Fox #3 13/2
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5
Time Turner 9/4
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6
Celestial Cen 12/1
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7
Speechman 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3