← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British EBF Future Stayers' Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam Restricted Race) (Plus 10 Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Divide And Conquer
HIGH Advised 2/5 SP 1/4F Est. 62%
Mr Fox says
Divide And Conquer (SR 160, 2/5) sits at the very top of the competitive-class threshold on the SR scale and carries a favourable 9-2, 5lb lighter than the 9-7 group. The SR of 160 is a full 15 points clear of the next-best runner (Political Resident, SR 145) and dwarfs the rest of the field. The market has shortened 6% since opening — quiet but meaningful support — backing a Ralph Beckett runner with Rossa Ryan aboard, a combination (19%/18% strike rates) that commands respect in a class-drop novice. The lone run showing a '2' suggests this horse has already been competitive at a higher level, and the step down in class (ClassMv:↓1) makes this a prime winning opportunity. Each-way alternative: Political Resident. Main danger: Political Resident — Political Resident (SR 145, 13/2) is a debutant from Andrew Balding's powerful yard — an 18% strike rate with 3,027 career runners — and unknown debutants with headgear applied on debut from top operations occasionally spring surprises when SR alone cannot fully price in unseen ability.
Full result
Winner: Divide And Conquer (IRE) at SP 1/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Divide And Conquer Fox #1 2/7
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2
Al Qayed Fox #3 9/2
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3
Next Best 22/1
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4
Political Resident Fox #2 11/1
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5
First Class Lad 125/1
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6
Dust My Broom 250/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3