← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dropkicks Split The G Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Sir Sirius
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Sir Sirius (SR:74, 11/2, 9-9) is the standout selection combining a 15% market move in (Mkt:in15%) with a top trainer-jockey combination — Kevin Ryan (12%, 1688 runners) and Kevin Stott (15%, 1174 runners) are a proven pairing — and a class drop (ClassMv:↓1) that brings the horse into a softer environment. The addition of a hood (HG:p) signals the yard is making a deliberate tactical adjustment, and the 19-day turnaround is a healthy fresh-horse window. Form reading 9630 (right-to-left: last run 0, then 3, 6, 9) shows a horse finding its feet in its early starts, and the steamer money at 15% suggests connections expect the penny to drop now. The GoingFit:- is a real flag on good ground, but the market shortening overrides that concern and the Ryan yard doesn't run its horses blind. Each-way alternative: Inns And Out. Main danger: Brandenburg — Brandenburg (SR:88, 3/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by 12 points, drops three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) from its last run, and its '01210' form shows genuine winning ability at a higher level — Ann Duffield at 12% with Paul Mulrennan (14%, 2421 runners) is a competent combination and the 3/1 market price reflects legitimate respect.
Full result
Winner: Beauty For Love (IRE) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Beauty For Love 33/1
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2
Sir Sirius Fox #1 11/2
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3
Rock Steady Beat Fox #4 9/2
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4
Brandenburg Fox #2 10/3
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5
Deputy Vice 11/1
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6
Inns And Out Fox #3 5/1
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7
Sovereigns High 5/1
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8
The First Drop 13/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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