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Mr Fox’s call
Simple Star
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 SP 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Simple Star (SR 63, 11/2) is the most compelling case in this field. The market has steamed 44% — the strongest move in the race by a clear margin — suggesting informed confidence in a horse already proven at this course (W3P9, an outstanding record at Musselburgh). Dropping two class tiers and running off a mark 9lb lower than last win, the handicapper has handed this 8-year-old a significant opportunity. Sam James carries only 9-12 — a 2lb edge on Riddikulus who tops the SR rankings. The distance fit concern (DistFit:-) is the main caveat, but the class drop, mark relief, course dominance, and dramatic market move outweigh it in a weak Class 6 field. Each-way alternative: Falaise Blanc. Main danger: Riddikulus — Riddikulus holds the field's highest SR (75) and runs off a mark only 6lb above last win — with a consistent 441412 form string, the 3-year-old's age allowance and superior ability rating could overpower the lighter weights despite GoingFit:- concerns.
Full result
Winner: Simple Star (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Simple Star Fox #1 5/2
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2
Riddikulus Fox #2 11/4
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3
Tide Lines 14/1
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4
Togeather Forever 16/1
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5
Bollin Neil Fox #4 5/1
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6
Falaise Blanc Fox #3 3/1
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Aighear 15/8
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Sophiesticate -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Simple Star 11/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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2
Riddikulus 7/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Falaise Blanc 11/4 6TH
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4
Bollin Neil 4/1 5TH