← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Vanilla Skies
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Vanilla Skies (SR:89, 11/4) is the highest-rated runner in this Class 4 sprint and carries a light 9-3 against Lady Kodiac's 9-13 — a meaningful 10lb swing that matters on AW at 6f. Her form reads 1-2-2-3, consistently placed at this class level, and William Haggas (23% strike rate, 2,072 runners) is the most potent training operation in the field by some distance; Cieren Fallon at 18% career strike rate is a strong booking. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is a tool Haggas uses purposefully rather than as a panic measure, and DistFit:+ confirms she handles 6f well. The GoingFit:? is the only concern — Good on AW is standard Newcastle fare and the absence of a negative flag is reassuring. Lady Kodiac is the most obvious danger but has drifted 36% in the market since opening, a significant red flag suggesting connections or the wider market have spotted a problem. Each-way alternative: Call Me Betty. Main danger: Tarot — Tarot (SR:80, 4/1) has steamed in 14% in the market, drops a class, and runs off a mark 7lb lower than last win — the combination of market confidence and a favourable handicap mark makes her the most credible rival, even if GoingFit:- and a losing run of -7-6-6-5-4 tempers enthusiasm.
Full result
Winner: Angel Love (GB) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Angel Love 9/1
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2
Mae Amor 12/1
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3
Society Kiss 16/1
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4
Lady Kodiac Fox #4 10/3
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5
Vanilla Skies Fox #1 11/4
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6
D Flawless 10/1
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7
Tarot Fox #3 5/1
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8
Siouxpersonic 28/1
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9
Call Me Betty Fox #2 11/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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